1 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,380 sqft ·
Built 1992
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 160 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$979/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$374
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$206
Net cashflow
$-98/mo
Annual
$-1,179/yr
Cap rate
5.05%
Cash-on-cash
-4.44%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$26,572
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-98 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $80k (15.4% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($979 rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $80k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#344 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Carbondale Chsd 165 (urban): math 26% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #279 of 620 in IL (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Desoto Elementary School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,141 of 2,056 statewide, top 59%, 180 students, 0% FRL); Carbondale Comm H S (math 26% / reading 35%, grade F, #175 of 693 statewide, top 26%, 997 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.2% of price.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
12 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KVZ492778EJ7BB
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29