511 Mcknight St

Rutherford, TN 38369

$49,900B

5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,382 sqft · Built 1900 · SingleFamily · Active · 22 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,334/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$262
• Tax + insurance: −$67
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$280
• Net cashflow: $725/mo
• Annual: $8,700/yr
• Cap rate: 23.73%
• Cash-on-cash: 62.27%
• DSCR: 3.77
• 1% rule: 2.67%
• Cash to close: $13,972

Investor read

• This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $725 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
• It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $84 of equity ($345 loan paydown + $-261 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#235 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Gibson County Sp District (rural): math 47% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #11 of 139 in TN (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Rutherford Elementary (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #231 of 952 statewide, top 26%, 282 students, 0% FRL); Gibson County High School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #56 of 332 statewide, top 20%, 449 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 33% district-wide (33 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 155 units permitted in Gibson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Gibson County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 8 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.