511 Mcknight St · Rutherford, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for a house with history? You just found it. This two-story was built in 1900 and needs a little TLC to make it into the perfect home in a quiet West Tennessee small town. Definitely worth the price with 5 bedrooms and over 2,200 square feet on a half-acre lot, with a large backyard. Plus, it's located in the much sought after South Gibson School District.
Key facts
- Large backyard
- Two story
- Half acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.46 acre
- HOA & community: Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage; 1 covered parking space (1 total parking space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Residential property
- Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Slab foundation; Existing year built; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Balcony
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Range; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms total; 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $725 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#235 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Gibson County Sp District (rural): math 47% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #11 of 139 in TN (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Rutherford Elementary (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #231 of 952 statewide, top 26%, 282 students, 0% FRL); Gibson County High School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #56 of 332 statewide, top 20%, 449 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 33% district-wide (33 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 155 units permitted in Gibson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $84 of equity ($345 loan paydown + $-261 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
- Gibson County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 62.27%
- DSCR
- 3.77
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.52% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 63.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.11×
- Total profit
- $43,511
- Equity at exit
- $13,197
- IRR
- 66.1%
- Equity multiple
- 8.34×
- Total profit
- $102,594
- Equity at exit
- $14,865
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38369
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 22
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,334 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $557/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $725
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 36 events
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2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-13pricedays on market $49,900 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $59,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $59,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $59,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-07pricedays on market $59,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-04price $64,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $71,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $71,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $71,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $71,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-05-27$71,000 Active
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2026-04-16historical
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2026-04-11price $52,500
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2026-04-08price $58,000
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2026-04-02$65,000 Active
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2023-08-15soldstatus $77,500
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2023-08-14soldstatus $77,500 Closed 366-char remark
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
Looking for a house with history? You just found it. This two-story was built in 1900 and needs a little TLC to make it into the perfect home in a quiet West Tennessee small town. Definitely worth the price with 5 bedrooms and over 2,200 square feet on a half-acre lot, with a large backyard. Plus, it's located in the much sought after South Gibson School District.
-
2023-08-14soldstatus $77,500
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
Looking for a house with history? You just found it. This two-story was built in 1900 and needs a little TLC to make it into the perfect home in a quiet West Tennessee small town. Definitely worth the price with 5 bedrooms and over 2,200 square feet on a half-acre lot, with a large backyard. Plus, it's located in the much sought after South Gibson School District.
-
2023-08-12historical 366-char remark
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
Looking for a house with history? You just found it. This two-story was built in 1900 and needs a little TLC to make it into the perfect home in a quiet West Tennessee small town. Definitely worth the price with 5 bedrooms and over 2,200 square feet on a half-acre lot, with a large backyard. Plus, it's located in the much sought after South Gibson School District.
-
2023-07-13status Pending 366-char remark
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
Looking for a house with history? You just found it. This two-story was built in 1900 and needs a little TLC to make it into the perfect home in a quiet West Tennessee small town. Definitely worth the price with 5 bedrooms and over 2,200 square feet on a half-acre lot, with a large backyard. Plus, it's located in the much sought after South Gibson School District.
-
2023-06-13status Active 366-char remark
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
Looking for a house with history? You just found it. This two-story was built in 1900 and needs a little TLC to make it into the perfect home in a quiet West Tennessee small town. Definitely worth the price with 5 bedrooms and over 2,200 square feet on a half-acre lot, with a large backyard. Plus, it's located in the much sought after South Gibson School District.
-
2023-06-08status Pending 366-char remark
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
Looking for a house with history? You just found it. This two-story was built in 1900 and needs a little TLC to make it into the perfect home in a quiet West Tennessee small town. Definitely worth the price with 5 bedrooms and over 2,200 square feet on a half-acre lot, with a large backyard. Plus, it's located in the much sought after South Gibson School District.
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2023-05-31$79,900
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2023-05-30$79,900 Active 366-char remark
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
Looking for a house with history? You just found it. This two-story was built in 1900 and needs a little TLC to make it into the perfect home in a quiet West Tennessee small town. Definitely worth the price with 5 bedrooms and over 2,200 square feet on a half-acre lot, with a large backyard. Plus, it's located in the much sought after South Gibson School District.
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2023-02-17soldstatus $50,000 Closed
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2023-02-17soldstatus $50,000
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2023-01-18historical
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2022-12-08$55,000
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2022-06-29$65,000
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2022-06-06soldstatus $40,000
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2022-05-12$50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $557 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $557 · $46/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,008
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$557
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,281
- − Management
- −$1,281
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $8,394
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,014
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,685/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gibson County Sp District
- NCES district ID
- 4701400
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,868
- Composite
- 36.82/100
- National rank
- #4565
- State rank
- #11 of 139 in TN
Livability — Rutherford
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #235
- US rank
- #17256
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rutherford, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,636
Population outlook (Gibson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,793 people
- By 2030
- 48,221 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 46,793 · -4.1%
- By 2050
- 44,909 · -8.0%
- By 2075
- 40,191 · -17.6%
- By 2100
- 33,574 · -31.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 10% Black 7% Native American 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gibson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.6% · R 75.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.2pp toward R · 2008: -28.8pp · 2024: -52.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.0 2020: R+47.0 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+32.1 2008: R+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.52%
- Current HPI
- 230.3868
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+42.0% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $71,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Listing Removed — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-11 Price Changed $52,500 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $58,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Listed $65,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $77,500 Public Records
- 2023-08-14 Sold (MLS) $77,500 TVAR
- 2023-08-14 Sold (MLS) $77,500 CWTAR
- 2023-08-12 Delisted — CWTAR
- 2023-07-13 Pending — CWTAR
- 2023-06-13 Relisted — CWTAR
- 2023-06-08 Pending — CWTAR
- 2023-05-31 Listed $79,900 TVAR
- 2023-05-30 Listed $79,900 CWTAR
- 2023-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2023-02-17 Sold (MLS) $50,000 CWTAR
- 2023-01-18 Delisted — CWTAR
- 2022-12-08 Listed $55,000 CWTAR
- 2022-06-29 Listed $65,000 CWTAR
- 2022-06-06 Sold (MLS) $40,000 CWTAR
- 2022-05-12 Listed $50,000 CWTAR
Property tax history
-3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $557 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…