3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,296 sqft ·
Built 1996
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,155/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$671
Tax + insurance
−$198
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$453
Net cashflow
$834/mo
Annual
$10,004/yr
Cap rate
14.73%
Cash-on-cash
30.14%
DSCR
2.34
1% rule
1.68%
Cash to close
$35,840
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $128k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $834 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $128k).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $885 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#52 in OR, #1,587 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, cost of living C-, crime D-.
Bethel SD 52 (urban): math 18% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #52 of 58 in OR (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Willamette High School (math 24% / reading 50%, grade F, #85 of 143 statewide, top 61%, 1,516 students, 35% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 297 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $34k; list at $128k implies a 275% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 2.8% in Eugene — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KX46A9C324KPWD
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29