5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,156 sqft ·
Built 1910
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 69 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,300/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,543
Tax + insurance
−$503
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,113
Net cashflow
$1,140/mo
Annual
$13,681/yr
Cap rate
9.11%
Cash-on-cash
10.07%
DSCR
1.45
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$135,800
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $485k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $570/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $485k).
It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($456k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $456k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $52k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $48k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#430 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
Hudson City School District (town): math 38% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #494 of 590 in NY (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Montgomery C Smith Elementary School (math 36% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,409 of 2,108 statewide, top 67%, 723 students, 65% FRL); Hudson Junior High School (math 20% / reading 36%, grade F, #573 of 729 statewide, top 79%, 384 students, 63% FRL); Hudson High School (math 82% / reading 84%, grade A, #435 of 1,100 statewide, top 40%, 454 students, 57% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.9%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; 136 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Columbia County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $45k; list at $485k implies a 978% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $136k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$83k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 2.6% in Hudson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
Major: exterior siding
— The exterior siding is peeling and in need of repainting.
Major: flooring
— The flooring in the interior photos appears to be worn and in need of replacement.
Major: interior walls
— The interior walls show signs of wear and tear, with some areas appearing to be in need of repainting.
Major: bathrooms
— The bathrooms appear to be in poor condition, with outdated fixtures and potential plumbing issues.
Major: HVAC system
— The HVAC system appears to be outdated and may need replacement or repair.
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· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29