3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,360 sqft ·
Built 1947
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,671/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,071
Tax + insurance
−$172
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$351
Net cashflow
$77/mo
Annual
$926/yr
Cap rate
6.75%
Cash-on-cash
1.62%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$57,190
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $204k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $77 ($926/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (18.2% below list).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($201k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $167k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#92 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Hickory City Schools (urban): math 43% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #95 of 178 in NC (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Viewmont Elementary (math 32% / reading 33%, grade F, #897 of 1,410 statewide, top 64%, 530 students, 78% FRL); Grandview Middle (math 40% / reading 37%, grade F, #244 of 475 statewide, top 53%, 400 students, 78% FRL); Hickory High (math 44% / reading 56%, grade D+, #309 of 535 statewide, top 58%, 1,014 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 57% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 210 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,016 units permitted in Catawba County in 2024 (255 in 5+ unit buildings).
Catawba County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.0% in Hickory — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KYGW05DTAT77BG
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29