2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 1900
· Manufactured
· Active
· 313 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,541/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$254
Tax + insurance
−$81
HOA
−$934
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$324
Net cashflow
$-52/mo
Annual
$-622/yr
Cap rate
5.01%
Cash-on-cash
-4.58%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
3.18%
Cash to close
$13,580
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $48k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-52 ($-622/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $41k (15.5% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $48k).
It's been on market 313 days — a 12% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $41k (15.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $335 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#196 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities D, crime D-, cost of living F.
Visalia Unified (urban): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #273 of 517 in CA (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Veva Blunt Elementary (math 24% / reading 75%, grade D+, #387 of 1,571 statewide, top 26%, 545 students, 80% FRL); La Joya Middle (math 24% / reading 54%, grade F, #155 of 498 statewide, top 31%, 758 students, 63% FRL); El Diamante High (1,987 students, 55% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 61% of rent; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 239 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,447 units permitted in Tulare County in 2024 (307 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tulare County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.3% in Visalia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 313 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— dated and in poor condition
Major: kitchen countertops
— dated and in poor condition
Major: kitchen flooring
— dated and in poor condition
Major: kitchen appliances
— dated and in poor condition
Major: bathroom vanity
— dated and in poor condition
CashFlowRE · CFR-KYQH1ZED3NAES6
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29