4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,152 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,108/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$303
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$653
Net cashflow
$1,633/mo
Annual
$19,593/yr
Cap rate
26.08%
Cash-on-cash
70.68%
DSCR
4.14
1% rule
3.14%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $99k).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#334 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: commute D+, employment D, amenities F.
South Glens Falls Central School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #307 of 590 in NY (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: South Glens Falls Senior High School (math 92% / reading 91%, grade A+, #197 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 908 students, 36% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 92% at this address vs 54% district-wide (+38 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the South Glens Falls Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,132 units permitted in Saratoga County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Saratoga County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 26.1% vs local median 4.0% in Fort Edward — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($100k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-KYWWS29W9WMW4Z
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29