1816 Route 32n · Fort Edward, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Assignment Contract. Cash Only Sold AS IS. 10 percent due singing. Agent has ownership interest.
Key facts
- 0.91 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1973
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $99k).
- Cap rate 26.1% vs local median 4.0% in Fort Edward — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#334 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: commute D+, employment D, amenities F.
- South Glens Falls Central School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #307 of 590 in NY (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: South Glens Falls Senior High School (math 92% / reading 91%, grade A+, #197 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 908 students, 36% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 92% at this address vs 54% district-wide (+38 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the South Glens Falls Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,132 units permitted in Saratoga County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($100k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saratoga County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 70.68%
- DSCR
- 4.14
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $246,528
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106 Schuyler Hts Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,190 (+3%) | 16mo | $275,000 | $231 | 62 |
| 1803 Ny-32 | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,040 (-10%) | 10mo | $270,000 | $260 | 49 |
| 16B 2nd St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,296 (+12%) | 7mo | $225,000 | $174 | 44 |
| 1930 Route 32n | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,251 (+9%) | 20mo | $268,000 | $214 | 39 |
| 4 Leonard St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,312 (+14%) | 21mo | $188,700 | $144 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 70.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.18×
- Total profit
- $88,080
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 74.3%
- Equity multiple
- 8.62×
- Total profit
- $211,138
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12831
- Home prices YoY
- -12.8%
- Active inventory
- 113
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,108 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$262 /mo · $3,145/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$653
- Net cashflow
- $1,633
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,689 | -5% $1,661 | +0% $1,633 | +5% $1,605 | +10% $1,577 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,387 | -5% $1,510 | +0% $1,633 | +5% $1,756 | +10% $1,878 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,683 | -0.5pp $1,658 | base $1,633 | +0.5pp $1,607 | +1.0pp $1,581 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-03-27status Pending
-
2026-03-24$99,000 Active
-
2024-07-20status Pending
-
2024-07-20historical
-
2024-07-17$74,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,145 · $262/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,145 · $262/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,295
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$3,145
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,984
- − Management
- −$2,984
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $19,262
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,623
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,970/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Glens Falls Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3627240
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▲ 12.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,015
- Composite
- 46.93/100
- National rank
- #2363
- State rank
- #307 of 590 in NY
Livability — Fort Edward
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #334
- US rank
- #5647
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saratoga County · 166,192 people
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,025
- Household income
- $100,024
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 497.0
Population outlook (Saratoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 238,889 people
- By 2030
- 243,681 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 249,118 · +4.3%
- By 2050
- 248,638 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 241,675 · +1.2%
- By 2100
- 213,150 · -10.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 11% Romanian 4% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Saratoga
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 49.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.6pp toward R · 2008: 3.4pp · 2024: 1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.8 2020: D+5.4 2016: R+4.4 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+3.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.79%
- Current HPI
- 351.6972
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+32.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-03-24 Listed $99,000 Global MLS
- 2024-07-20 Pending — Global MLS
- 2024-07-20 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2024-07-17 Listed $74,900 Global MLS
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,145 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…