2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,412 sqft ·
Built 1987
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 155 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,058/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$142
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$222
Net cashflow
$248/mo
Annual
$2,978/yr
Cap rate
9.80%
Cash-on-cash
12.51%
DSCR
1.56
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $248 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#71 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
St. James Parish (town): math 31% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #30 of 98 in LA (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in St. James Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. James County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen flooring
— Worn and needs replacement
Major: bathroom flooring
— Worn and needs replacement
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— Cluttered and need cleaning
Moderate: bathroom cabinets
— Cluttered and need cleaning
CashFlowRE · CFR-KZC1HHBFDMT1SH
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29