6 bd · 6.0 ba ·
2,676 sqft ·
Built 1950
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 771 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$31,700/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$10,436
Tax + insurance
−$1,972
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$6,657
Net cashflow
$12,635/mo
Annual
$151,622/yr
Cap rate
13.99%
Cash-on-cash
27.47%
DSCR
2.22
1% rule
1.59%
Cash to close
$557,200
Investor read
This is a 15 × ?-bed/15.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.99M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $13k ($152k/yr) — positive. Per door: $842/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($32k rent vs $1.99M).
It's been on market 771 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.75M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.75M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $14k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $60k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Alta Loma Elementary (386 students, 96% FRL); Johnnie Cochran Jr. Middle (545 students, 99% FRL); Los Angeles Senior High (math 16% / reading 43%, grade F, #750 of 1,170 statewide, top 66%, 1,043 students, 95% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 67% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Los Angeles Unified average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $122/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 69% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $350k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $557k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 771 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
CashFlowRE · CFR-KZCRVZ9FN68YG0
· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29