3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,404 sqft ·
Built 2005
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,100/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$236
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$231
Net cashflow
$-128/mo
Annual
$-1,536/yr
Cap rate
5.23%
Cash-on-cash
-3.78%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$40,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-128 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $122k (15.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (24.2% below list).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $110k (24.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (7.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Melcher-Dallas Community School District (rural): math 51% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #259 of 289 in IA (top 90%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Melcher-Dallas Elem (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #462 of 616 statewide, top 79%, 177 students, 31% FRL); Melcher-Dallas High School (math 52% / reading 67%, grade C+, #263 of 336 statewide, top 81%, 153 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 33% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 122 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
8 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $80k; list at $145k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M08NT5FJ145PC1
· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29