2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
768 sqft ·
Built 1925
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$972/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$765
Tax + insurance
−$200
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$204
Net cashflow
$-197/mo
Annual
$-2,365/yr
Cap rate
4.67%
Cash-on-cash
-5.79%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
0.67%
Cash to close
$40,852
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $146k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-197 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $111k (23.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (33.4% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $97k (33.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#450 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, amenities F.
Shelbyville Central Schools (town): math 40% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #148 of 301 in IN (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 229 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 285 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (147 in 5+ unit buildings).
Shelby County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M13GCX9EFJYCFV
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29