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1003 S Shelby St
D- Composite 35.57
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.3/30.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.7/10.0
  • DSCR +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,900

1003 S Shelby St · Shelbyville, IN 46176
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 768 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1925 5,600 sqft lot $190/sqft · 72% above area Est $169k · 14% under ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 5,600 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1925

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage (576 sq ft)
  • Utilities: Public water; Municipal sewer connected; No solid waste service listed
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Concrete perimeter foundation
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Covered patio/porch; Basement present
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $146k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-197 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $111k (23.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (33.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (33.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#450 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, amenities F.
  • Shelbyville Central Schools (town): math 40% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #148 of 301 in IN (top 49%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 229 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 285 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (147 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Shelby County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $97,198 (33.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.67%
Cap rate
4.67%
Cash-on-cash
-5.79%
DSCR
0.74
GRM
12.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$169,272
List price
$145,900
Delta
-13.81%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
825 Moriseni St 0.28mi 2/1.0 768 (0%) 1mo $50,000 $65 86
1222 Lincoln St 0.29mi 2/1.0 750 (-2%) 1mo $154,900 $207 81
625 9th St 0.49mi 2/1.0 768 (0%) 20mo $159,900 $208 61
315 W South St 0.40mi 2/1.0 856 (+12%) 4mo $163,000 $190 58
110 Goodrich Ave 0.63mi 2/1.0 700 (-9%) 1mo $137,000 $196 55
709 Center St 0.60mi 2/1.0 799 (+4%) 14mo $159,900 $200 53
219 E Taylor St 0.68mi 2/1.0 728 (-5%) 21mo $151,500 $208 42
611 Center St 0.65mi 2/1.0 692 (-10%) 16mo $107,000 $155 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-26.2%
Equity multiple
0.11×
Total profit
$-36,204
Equity at exit
$21,754
10-year hold
IRR
-23.3%
Equity multiple
-0.17×
Total profit
$-47,734
Equity at exit
$12,615

Cash invested: $40,852 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46176

Home prices YoY
-33.9%
Active inventory
229
Price-to-rent
12.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$972 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$765
Tax from tax record
$139 /mo · $1,668/yr
Insurance
$61
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$204
Net cashflow
$-197

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,221
Max offer price $111,092
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,475
Closing costs
$4,377
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
135 W Hendricks St Shelbyville, IN 1.0 1.0 544 $695 $1.28 23d 1 0.54mi
135 W Hendricks St Unit 2 Shelbyville, IN 1.0 1.0 544 $750 $1.38 10d 1 0.54mi
135 W Hendricks St #4 Shelbyville, IN 1.0 1.0 544 $725 $1.33 19d 1 0.54mi
529 W Washington St Shelbyville, IN 1.0 1.0 878 $695 $0.79 1d 1 0.66mi
316 W Franklin St Shelbyville, IN 1.0 1.0 700 $695 $0.99 1d 1 0.79mi
316 W Franklin St Shelbyville, IN 1.0 1.0 750 $645 $0.86 43d 1 0.79mi
106 E Pennsylvania St Shelbyville, IN 1.0 1.0 563 $545 $0.97 16d 1 0.94mi
425 N Harrison St Shelbyville, IN 3.0 1.0–2.0 909 $1,614 $1.78 1d 7 1.02mi
348 E Franklin St Shelbyville, IN 2.0 1.0 934 $1,295 $1.39 21d 1 1.13mi
713 Indiana Ave Shelbyville, IN 2.0 1.0 1077 $1,100 $1.02 43d 1 1.27mi
645 Main St Unit 3 Shelbyville, IN 1.0 1.0 600 $750 $1.25 43d 1 1.42mi
1825 Wichman Ln Shelbyville, IN 1.0 1.0 684 $990 $1.45 43d 1 1.49mi
1825 Wichman Ln Shelbyville, IN 2.0 2.0 938 $1,190 $1.27 1d 1 1.49mi
1825 Wichman Ln Shelbyville, IN 2.0 2.0 938 $1,190 $1.27 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 676-char remark
  2. 2026-05-05
    listed $145,900 Active 676-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,668 · $139/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,668 · $139/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,664
− Mortgage interest
−$8,173
− Property taxes
−$1,668
− Insurance
−$730
− Repairs & maintenance
−$933
− Management
−$933
− Depreciation
−$4,244
Taxable loss
−$5,017
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,204
After-tax cash flow
$-1,160/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shelbyville Central Schools
NCES district ID
1810140
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$45,199
Composite
33.63/100
National rank
#5402
State rank
#148 of 301 in IN

Livability — Shelbyville

Score
63/100
State rank
#450
US rank
#16051

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shelbyville, IN
County
Shelby County · 28,782 people
City population
28,782
Metro
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
Population (ZIP)
28,782
Household income
$65,182
Rent vs Own
35.6% rent · 64.4% own
Severe rent burden
921.0

Population outlook (Shelby County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,020 people
By 2030
44,962 · -0.1%
By 2040
44,126 · -2.0%
By 2050
42,110 · -6.5%
By 2075
37,131 · -17.5%
By 2100
29,714 · -34.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Shelby

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.1% · R 73.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-29.0pp toward R · 2008: -19.0pp · 2024: -48.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.0 2020: R+47.7 2016: R+47.2 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+19.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -116.59%
Current HPI
227.6747
Rent YoY
Metro
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Sold (MLS) $143,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-11 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $145,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+44.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,668 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…