6 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,188 sqft ·
Built 2021
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,750/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,967
Tax + insurance
−$636
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$368
Net cashflow
$-1,220/mo
Annual
$-14,643/yr
Cap rate
2.39%
Cash-on-cash
-13.95%
DSCR
0.38
1% rule
0.47%
Cash to close
$105,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $375k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-610/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $159k (57.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (53.3% below list).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($369k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $159k (57.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $40k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $38k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#832 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Itasca ISD (rural): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #636 of 826 in TX (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Itasca El (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 295 students, 74% FRL).
Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Hill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hill County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$64k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 2.4% vs local median 5.7% in Itasca — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M18HQ0EGE8VCJ2
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29