3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 1951
· Other
· Active
· 65 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$700/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$246
Tax + insurance
−$60
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$147
Net cashflow
$246/mo
Annual
$2,957/yr
Cap rate
12.58%
Cash-on-cash
22.47%
DSCR
2.00
1% rule
1.49%
Cash to close
$13,160
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $47k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $246 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($700 rent vs $47k).
It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $44k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($325 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#288 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
Henry County R-I (town): math 27% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #270 of 324 in MO (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 15 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Henry County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $32k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 4.4% in Windsor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M2GAED0QY4H03B
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29