503 S Franklin Rd · Windsor, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$47,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2 story home has lots of potential with a huge living room 1 bedroom on the main and 2 bedroom upstairs, a detached garage on a nice lot. There is some damage on what i would call north side of the home. Looks like rot or termite damage but the rest of the house seems to be ok. There is a lot of house here for the money especially if you are a handy man that can fix or repair things. Seller selling property ASIS. No disclosures.
Key facts
- 6,732 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1951
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $47k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $246 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($700 rent vs $47k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 4.4% in Windsor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#288 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Henry County R-I (town): math 27% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #270 of 324 in MO (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 15 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($325 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Henry County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $32k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.47%
- DSCR
- 2.00
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $112,977
- List price
- $47,000
- Delta
- -58.40%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.14×
- Total profit
- $41,292
- Equity at exit
- $42,341
- IRR
- 35.5%
- Equity multiple
- 9.30×
- Total profit
- $109,255
- Equity at exit
- $91,311
Cash invested: $13,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65360
- Home prices YoY
- 9.7%
- Active inventory
- 46
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $700 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$246
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $486/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$147
- Net cashflow
- $246
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,750
- Closing costs
- $1,410
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301 E Benton St Unit B Windsor, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $700 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $47,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $47,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $47,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $47,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $47,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $47,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $47,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $47,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $47,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $47,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $47,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $47,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $47,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $47,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-04-15$47,000 Active 437-char remark
Show marketing remark (437 chars)
This 2 story home has lots of potential with a huge living room 1 bedroom on the main and 2 bedroom upstairs, a detached garage on a nice lot. There is some damage on what i would call north side of the home. Looks like rot or termite damage but the rest of the house seems to be ok. There is a lot of house here for the money especially if you are a handy man that can fix or repair things. Seller selling property ASIS. No disclosures.
-
2025-02-25$47,000 Active
-
2006-08-15soldstatus $32,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $486 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $486 · $41/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $8,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,633
- − Property taxes
- −$486
- − Insurance
- −$235
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$672
- − Management
- −$672
- − Depreciation
- −$1,367
- Taxable income
- $2,335
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$560
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,397/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Henry County R-I
- NCES district ID
- 2932110
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,839
- Composite
- 25.53/100
- National rank
- #7434
- State rank
- #270 of 324 in MO
Livability — Windsor
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #288
- US rank
- #13335
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Windsor, MO
- City population
- 4,526
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,526
Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,584 people
- By 2030
- 19,839 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 18,305 · -11.1%
- By 2050
- 16,893 · -17.9%
- By 2075
- 14,285 · -30.6%
- By 2100
- 11,905 · -42.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Henry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.6) · D 23.2% · R 75.8% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.6pp toward R · 2008: -11.0pp · 2024: -52.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.6 2020: R+50.1 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+25.9 2008: R+11.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 24.82%
- Current HPI
- 279.7789
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+44.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Listed $47,000 WCAR
- 2025-02-25 Listed $47,000 WCAR
- 2006-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $32,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $486 · +19.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…