2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,280 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,650/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$136
Tax + insurance
−$91
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$346
Net cashflow
$1,076/mo
Annual
$12,917/yr
Cap rate
55.97%
Cash-on-cash
177.43%
DSCR
8.89
1% rule
6.35%
Cash to close
$7,280
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $26k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $26k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $25k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($180 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#77 in PA, #558 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D-.
Belle Vernon Area SD (suburban): math 34% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #267 of 539 in PA (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 201 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fayette County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 56.0% vs local median 2.8% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M370KCF2QQK52N
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29