12 bd · None ba ·
10,966 sqft ·
Built 1820
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 141 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$13,058/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,982
Tax + insurance
−$1,534
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,742
Net cashflow
$3,800/mo
Annual
$45,603/yr
Cap rate
11.09%
Cash-on-cash
17.14%
DSCR
1.76
1% rule
1.37%
Cash to close
$266,000
Investor read
This is a 12-bed/?-bath multifamily listed at $950k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($46k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $950k).
It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($836k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $836k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $28k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1820 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 61 active listings in the ZIP; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
9 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $150k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $610k; list at $950k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.3% rent growth), your $266k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $13,058/mo this rent would consume 343% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 2648% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1820 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M37Z61FBMGSW03
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29