4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,364 sqft ·
Built 1996
· SingleFamily
· Coming Soon
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,305/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,622
Tax + insurance
−$667
HOA
−$75
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$904
Net cashflow
$37/mo
Annual
$445/yr
Cap rate
6.38%
Cash-on-cash
0.32%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$140,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $500k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $37 ($445/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $430k (13.9% below list).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $430k (13.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#58 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A-, amenities B+; Watch: cost of living D, commute F, health & safety F.
Gwinnett County (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #32 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Berkeley Lake Elementary School (math 35% / reading 42%, grade F, #463 of 1,228 statewide, top 38%, 819 students, 52% FRL); Duluth Middle School (math 22% / reading 26%, grade F, #311 of 470 statewide, top 68%, 1,271 students, 72% FRL); Duluth High School (math 15% / reading 17%, grade F, #287 of 424 statewide, top 68%, 2,644 students, 55% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Gwinnett County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 243 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,607 units permitted in Gwinnett County in 2024 (1,277 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gwinnett County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $190k; list at $500k implies a 163% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.5% in Peachtree Corners — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,305/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($79k/yr) (locally 2823% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M38M8A5Q088BNK
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29