3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
832 sqft ·
Built 1956
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 48 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,423/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$944
Tax + insurance
−$156
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$299
Net cashflow
$24/mo
Annual
$291/yr
Cap rate
6.45%
Cash-on-cash
0.58%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$50,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($291/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (21.0% below list).
It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $142k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#196 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
School City Of Hobart (suburban): math 30% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #161 of 301 in IN (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Liberty Elementary School (math 42% / reading 43%, grade F, #425 of 994 statewide, top 44%, 423 students, 50% FRL); Hobart Middle School (math 23% / reading 42%, grade F, #186 of 330 statewide, top 57%, 917 students, 54% FRL); Hobart High School (math 25% / reading 65%, grade D-, #166 of 369 statewide, top 45%, 1,306 students, 48% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 261 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
5 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $75k; list at $180k implies a 140% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.2% in Hobart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29