418 S Lawrence St · Hobart, IN
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.65%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- ARV discount +5.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home! This beautifully cared-for updated bungalow is exactly what you've been waiting for! With new flooring throughout, new counter tops, freshly refinished cabinets, and recently updated bath, what more could you ask for? The oversized fenced in yard complete with storage shed and deck is the perfect spot for summer barbecues and bonfires, and can also be accessed through the new sliding glass door in the master bedroom! What are you waiting for? Schedule your private showing today!
Key facts
- Front and rear decks
- 6,970 sq ft lot
- Built 1956
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family, site-built home; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Built as site-built construction
- Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s); Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator; Freezer
- Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Refrigerator; Freezer; Gas Range; Gas Water Heater; Water Heater; Crawl space
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($291/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (21.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $142k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.2% in Hobart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#196 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- School City Of Hobart (suburban): math 30% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #161 of 301 in IN (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Liberty Elementary School (math 42% / reading 43%, grade F, #425 of 994 statewide, top 44%, 423 students, 50% FRL); Hobart Middle School (math 23% / reading 42%, grade F, #186 of 330 statewide, top 57%, 917 students, 54% FRL); Hobart High School (math 25% / reading 65%, grade D-, #166 of 369 statewide, top 45%, 1,306 students, 48% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 261 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $180k implies a 140% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.58%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $170,560
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1508 E 6th St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 832 (0%) | 12mo | $187,000 | $225 | 76 |
| 511 S Liberty St | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 768 (-8%) | 2mo | $117,500 | $153 | 75 |
| 1020 E Cleveland Ave | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 816 (-2%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $153 | 72 |
| 1101 E 5th St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 816 (-2%) | 11mo | $77,000 | $94 | 72 |
| 416 S Liberty Pl | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 768 (-8%) | 7mo | $185,000 | $241 | 70 |
| 501 S Liberty St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 768 (-8%) | 12mo | $160,500 | $209 | 68 |
| 515 S Indiana St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 768 (-8%) | 3mo | $169,900 | $221 | 66 |
| 652 S State St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 828 (-0%) | 1mo | $169,500 | $205 | 62 |
| 517 S Liberty Pl | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (+12%) | 13mo | $170,850 | $183 | 62 |
| 631 Main St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 816 (-2%) | 11mo | $100,000 | $123 | 55 |
| 609 Main St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 756 (-9%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $212 | 48 |
| 843 Lincoln St | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 800 (-4%) | 12mo | $151,000 | $189 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-23,828
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-2,303
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46342
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 261
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,423 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $969/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $24
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $126 | -5% $75 | +0% $24 | +5% $-27 | +10% $-78 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-88 | -5% $-32 | +0% $24 | +5% $80 | +10% $137 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $115 | -0.5pp $70 | base $24 | +0.5pp $-22 | +1.0pp $-70 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215 East St Unit 3 Hobart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,350 | $1.59 | 0d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 669 Lake St Unit 1 Hobart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 849 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 0d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1421 High St Unit 2W Hobart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 333 Neringa Ln Hobart, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1009 | $1,780 | $1.76 | 0d | 11 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $180,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $180,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $180,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $180,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $180,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $180,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $180,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $180,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $180,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $180,000
-
2026-05-04$190,000 Active
-
2020-06-11soldstatus $74,900 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Welcome home! This beautifully cared-for updated bungalow is exactly what you've been waiting for! With new flooring throughout, new counter tops, freshly refinished cabinets, and recently updated bath, what more could you ask for? The oversized fenced in yard complete with storage shed and deck is the perfect spot for summer barbecues and bonfires, and can also be accessed through the new sliding glass door in the master bedroom! What are you waiting for? Schedule your private showing today!
-
2020-05-02$74,900 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
Welcome home! This beautifully cared-for updated bungalow is exactly what you've been waiting for! With new flooring throughout, new counter tops, freshly refinished cabinets, and recently updated bath, what more could you ask for? The oversized fenced in yard complete with storage shed and deck is the perfect spot for summer barbecues and bonfires, and can also be accessed through the new sliding glass door in the master bedroom! What are you waiting for? Schedule your private showing today!
-
2016-01-25soldstatus $58,000 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Why Rent when you could own this beautiful remodeled 2 bedroom home. Newer windows, NEW carpet, most lighting fixtures are NEW and top it off with new kitchen appliances. Large rooms with open concept kitchen and living area. Lovely covered front porch and Nice fenced back yard with storage shed. Sellers is offering HOME WARRANTY
-
2015-07-27$58,000 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Why Rent when you could own this beautiful remodeled 2 bedroom home. Newer windows, NEW carpet, most lighting fixtures are NEW and top it off with new kitchen appliances. Large rooms with open concept kitchen and living area. Lovely covered front porch and Nice fenced back yard with storage shed. Sellers is offering HOME WARRANTY
-
2015-07-23historical
-
2014-07-22$59,900
-
2002-01-09$69,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $969 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,249 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$281/yr (+$23/mo · 29.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 65% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,072
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$969
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,366
- − Management
- −$1,366
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable loss
- −$2,848
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$683
- After-tax cash flow
- $974/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- School City Of Hobart
- NCES district ID
- 1804590
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,967
- Composite
- 32.93/100
- National rank
- #5594
- State rank
- #161 of 301 in IN
Livability — Hobart
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #8834
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hobart, IN
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- City population
- 32,224
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,224
- Household income
- $75,521
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1033.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 10% Black 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -167.01%
- Current HPI
- 260.2635
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.63%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+157.5% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $180,000 IRMLS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $190,000 IRMLS
- 2020-06-11 Sold (MLS) $74,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-05-02 Listed $74,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-01-25 Sold (MLS) $58,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-07-27 Listed $58,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-07-23 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-07-22 Listed $59,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-01-09 Listed $69,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2024): $969 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…