2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,418 sqft ·
Built 1967
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 174 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$949/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$121
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$199
Net cashflow
$109/mo
Annual
$1,314/yr
Cap rate
7.62%
Cash-on-cash
4.74%
DSCR
1.21
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $109 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (4.1% below list).
It's been on market 174 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#448 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Defiance City (town): math 48% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #449 of 656 in OH (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 136 active listings in the ZIP; 41 units permitted in Defiance County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Defiance County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $55k; list at $99k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 2.5% in Defiance — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 174 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M3MYYE3CVPRAAP
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29