3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,569 sqft ·
Built 1957
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 64 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,065/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$377
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$434
Net cashflow
$-109/mo
Annual
$-1,309/yr
Cap rate
5.79%
Cash-on-cash
-1.80%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$72,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $260k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-109 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $241k (7.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (20.5% below list).
It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($244k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $206k (20.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#129 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Cecil County Public Schools (rural): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #15 of 24 in MD (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 563 units permitted in Cecil County in 2024 (330 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $112k; list at $260k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.1% in Charlestown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M3Z11FF6TYMP7X
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29