48 bd · 0.0 ba ·
8,386 sqft ·
Built 1973
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$17,722/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$8,653
Tax + insurance
−$1,701
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,722
Net cashflow
$3,646/mo
Annual
$43,755/yr
Cap rate
8.94%
Cash-on-cash
9.47%
DSCR
1.42
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$462,000
Investor read
This is a 24 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $1.65M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($44k/yr) — positive. Per door: $152/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($18k rent vs $1.65M).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.63M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.63M (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $11k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $50k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#20 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
White Hall School District (rural): math 36% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #86 of 238 in AR (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Taylor Elementary School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #173 of 454 statewide, top 43%, 387 students, 62% FRL); White Hall Junior High School (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #92 of 201 statewide, top 50%, 703 students, 54% FRL); White Hall High School (math 23% / reading 34%, grade F, #157 of 292 statewide, top 54%, 969 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 36% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 62 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $1.20M; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.9% in White Hall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M4156H3NDE1Y7Y
· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29