2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
977 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Condo
· Pending
· 251 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,565/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$797
Tax + insurance
−$128
HOA
−$349
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$329
Net cashflow
$-37/mo
Annual
$-449/yr
Cap rate
6.00%
Cash-on-cash
-1.06%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$42,560
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $152k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-37 ($-449/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $145k (4.4% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $152k).
It's been on market 251 days — a 12% lower offer ($134k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $134k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#58 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A-, amenities B+; Watch: cost of living D, commute F, health & safety F.
Gwinnett County (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #32 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Peachtree Elementary School (math 30% / reading 26%, grade F, #673 of 1,228 statewide, top 55%, 696 students, 73% FRL); Pinckneyville Middle School (math 34% / reading 46%, grade F, #144 of 470 statewide, top 31%, 1,206 students, 53% FRL); Norcross High School (math 21% / reading 22%, grade F, #218 of 424 statewide, top 53%, 2,608 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 47% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 237 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,607 units permitted in Gwinnett County in 2024 (1,277 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gwinnett County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
12 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.5% in Peachtree Corners — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 251 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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