2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
830 sqft ·
Built 1964
· Manufactured
· Active
· 102 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,134/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$834
Tax + insurance
−$165
HOA
−$130
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$448
Net cashflow
$557/mo
Annual
$6,687/yr
Cap rate
10.50%
Cash-on-cash
15.02%
DSCR
1.67
1% rule
1.34%
Cash to close
$44,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $159k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $557 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $145k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#68 in FL, #1,159 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D, amenities D-.
Broward (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #46 of 73 in FL (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Tropical Elementary School (math 54% / reading 64%, grade B-, #722 of 2,144 statewide, top 34%, 839 students, 53% FRL); Nova Middle School (math 44% / reading 53%, grade C-, #274 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 1,284 students, 68% FRL); Nova High School (math 22% / reading 56%, grade F, #312 of 667 statewide, top 48%, 2,227 students, 59% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 408 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,111 units permitted in Broward County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
Broward County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 8268% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $128k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.2% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 3.4% in Davie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29