210 Circle Inn Dr

Chubbuck, ID 83202

$46,999B

2 bd · 1.5 ba · 980 sqft · Built 1974 · Manufactured · Active · 162 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,295/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$246
• Tax + insurance: −$78
• HOA: −$393
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$272
• Net cashflow: $305/mo
• Annual: $3,659/yr
• Cap rate: 14.08%
• Cash-on-cash: 27.81%
• DSCR: 2.24
• 1% rule: 2.75%
• Cash to close: $13,160

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $47k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $305 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $47k).
• It's been on market 162 days — a 12% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $41k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $325 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 86/100 on livability (#4 in ID, #454 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-.
• Pocatello District (urban): math 45% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #26 of 92 in ID (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Rulon M Ellis Elementary School (math 56% / reading 63%, grade B-, #75 of 357 statewide, top 23%, 380 students, 44% FRL); Hawthorne Middle School (math 35% / reading 54%, grade D, #52 of 109 statewide, top 51%, 674 students, 48% FRL); Highland High School (math 45% / reading 57%, grade D+, #38 of 169 statewide, top 22%, 1,589 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools at 38% FRL track the district average.
• Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 212 active listings in the ZIP; 325 units permitted in Bannock County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
• 8 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 162 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.