3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,484 sqft ·
Built 1986
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,073/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$173
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$435
Net cashflow
$337/mo
Annual
$4,045/yr
Cap rate
8.17%
Cash-on-cash
6.72%
DSCR
1.30
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $337 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (3.6% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $207k (3.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#381 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Friendship Elementary School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,609 of 2,144 statewide, top 77%, 415 students, 75% FRL); Galaxy Middle School (math 36% / reading 40%, grade F, #388 of 571 statewide, top 69%, 1,056 students, 60% FRL); Pine Ridge High School (math 19% / reading 38%, grade F, #458 of 667 statewide, top 69%, 1,636 students, 54% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Volusia average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 383 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $108k; list at $215k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M6ZK1MBVHF1SJQ
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29