3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,440 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,253/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$576
Tax + insurance
−$308
HOA
−$4
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$263
Net cashflow
$101/mo
Annual
$1,216/yr
Cap rate
8.77%
Cash-on-cash
8.83%
DSCR
1.39
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$30,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $101 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 54/100 on livability (#899 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Modoc Joint Unified (town): math 21% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #404 of 517 in CA (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Modoc County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Modoc County population projected at -41% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen
— No photos of the kitchen
Major: Bathrooms
— No photos of the bathrooms
Major: Flooring
— No photos of the flooring
Major: Interior walls/paint
— No photos of the interior walls/paint
Major: Landscaping/curb appeal
— No photos of the landscaping/curb appeal
CashFlowRE · CFR-M7GS6DEKQF6NB7
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29