9 bd · 5.1 ba ·
3,295 sqft ·
Built 2007
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 311 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$10,929/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,292
Tax + insurance
−$1,081
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,295
Net cashflow
$1,260/mo
Annual
$15,123/yr
Cap rate
7.55%
Cash-on-cash
4.50%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$335,972
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.7-bath units multifamily listed at $1.20M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $420/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.09M (8.9% below list).
It's been on market 311 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.06M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.06M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $44k of equity ($8k loan paydown + $36k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $799k (40%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $475k; list at $1.20M implies a 153% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $336k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$72k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 311 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M8DB4C8F9F5AT7
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29