Triplex
637 Barretto St · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.0/30.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- ARV discount +2.7/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$1,199,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
3 Family House In The Bronx, Additional information: Appearance:Fair,Interior Features:Lr/Dr
Key facts
- Spacious backyard
- Conveniently located
- 1,875 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; No additional utilities listed
- Home design: Triplex
- Construction: Brick and brownstone exterior
- Exterior features: Brick and brownstone construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit; Two 3-bedroom units
- Bathrooms: Five full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating (natural gas); Wall/window air conditioning units; Separate utility meters
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Formal dining room; Original details; Recessed lighting; Soaking tub
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.7-bath units multifamily listed at $1.20M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $420/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.09M (8.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.06M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $44k of equity ($8k loan paydown + $36k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $336k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$72k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 311 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.06M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $799k (40%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $475k; list at $1.20M implies a 153% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 311 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.50%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,084,055
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 952 E 156 St | 0.59mi | 8/3.0 (-1) | 3,120 (-5%) | 16mo | $1,025,000 | $329 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $224,413
- Equity at exit
- $539,527
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.04×
- Total profit
- $686,036
- Equity at exit
- $831,475
Cash invested: $335,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10474
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 27.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $10,929 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6,292
- Tax from tax record
- −$581 /mo · $6,975/yr
- Insurance
- −$500
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,295
- Net cashflow
- $1,260
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3 | 1.7 | $10,929 |
| #1 | 3 | 1.7 | $3,643 |
| #2 | 3 | 1.7 | $3,643 |
| #3 | 3 | 1.7 | $3,643 |
| Total (3 units) | $10,929 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $299,975
- Closing costs
- $35,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,199,900 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,199,900 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,199,900 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,199,900 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $1,199,900 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,199,900 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,199,900 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,199,900 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,199,900 Active 293 DOM
-
2025-08-14price $1,199,900
-
2025-08-11$1,999,000 Active
-
2013-11-01soldstatus $475,000
-
2013-07-05soldstatus $220,000
-
2013-06-16soldstatus $220,000 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
3 Family House In The Bronx, Additional information: Appearance:Fair,Interior Features:Lr/Dr
-
2013-02-28$255,000 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
3 Family House In The Bronx, Additional information: Appearance:Fair,Interior Features:Lr/Dr
-
2012-11-12historical
-
2012-01-26$300,000
-
2007-09-17historical
-
2007-08-15
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,975 · $581/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $13,627 · $1,136/mo
- Expected delta
- +$6,651/yr (+$554/mo · 95.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $131,148
- − Mortgage interest
- −$67,213
- − Property taxes
- −$6,975
- − Insurance
- −$6,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$10,492
- − Management
- −$10,492
- − Depreciation
- −$34,906
- Taxable loss
- −$4,930
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,183
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,306/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,188
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 71% Black 25% Two or more races 18% White 2% Pacific Islander 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 27% Dominican 22%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 49% English-only · Spanish 47% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+300.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2025-08-14 Price Changed $1,199,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-11 Listed $1,999,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $475,000 Public Records
- 2013-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
- 2013-06-16 Sold (MLS) $220,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-02-28 Listed $255,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-11-12 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-01-26 Listed $300,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-09-17 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2007-08-15 Listed — HGMLS
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $6,975 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…