4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,165 sqft ·
Built 1972
· Townhouse
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,225/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$583
HOA
−$200
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$677
Net cashflow
$-70/mo
Annual
$-840/yr
Cap rate
6.05%
Cash-on-cash
-0.86%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$97,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $350k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-70 ($-840/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $340k (2.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $323k (7.8% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($345k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $323k (7.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#124 in IL, #2,162 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities D+, commute F.
Township Hsd 211 (urban): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #89 of 620 in IL (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Neil Armstrong Elem School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #586 of 2,056 statewide, top 31%, 497 students, 0% FRL); Dwight D Eisenhower Jhs (math 36% / reading 51%, grade D, #101 of 665 statewide, top 16%, 617 students, 0% FRL); Hoffman Estates High School (math 39% / reading 36%, grade F, #104 of 693 statewide, top 15%, 2,067 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.5%/yr); 33 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $163k; list at $350k implies a 115% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.7% in Schaumburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29