2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
936 sqft ·
Built 1961
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,178/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$147
Tax + insurance
−$34
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$247
Net cashflow
$750/mo
Annual
$9,003/yr
Cap rate
38.45%
Cash-on-cash
114.84%
DSCR
6.11
1% rule
4.21%
Cash to close
$7,840
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $28k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $750 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $28k).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($28k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $28k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $194 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $840 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#447 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Ardmore (town): math 12% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #241 of 270 in OK (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 381 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Carter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carter County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.4% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 38.4% vs local median 4.6% in Ardmore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M8Z7709MXN4EJ0
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29