2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
872 sqft ·
Built 1918
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$857/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$358
Tax + insurance
−$384
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$180
Net cashflow
$-65/mo
Annual
$-781/yr
Cap rate
10.67%
Cash-on-cash
15.61%
DSCR
1.69
1% rule
1.26%
Cash to close
$19,110
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-65 ($-781/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $57k (16.8% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($857 rent vs $68k).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $57k (16.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($472 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (7.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#590 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Richmond R-XVI (town): math 32% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #209 of 324 in MO (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Sunrise Elem. (math 33% / reading 37%, grade F, #672 of 1,115 statewide, top 60%, 447 students, 53% FRL); Richmond Middle (math 35% / reading 39%, grade F, #220 of 391 statewide, top 59%, 359 students, 40% FRL); Richmond High (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #321 of 521 statewide, top 67%, 454 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $314/mo; built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 56 units permitted in Ray County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ray County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (7.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M9RPXZA4MKPNB4
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29