3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,716 sqft ·
Built 1935
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,203/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$93
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$253
Net cashflow
$254/mo
Annual
$3,052/yr
Cap rate
8.95%
Cash-on-cash
9.48%
DSCR
1.42
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $254 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $957 of equity ($795 loan paydown + $162 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#542 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Hominy (town): math 6% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #259 of 270 in OK (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 89 units permitted in Osage County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Osage County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $30k; list at $115k implies a 283% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M9SNS2AFD6D345
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29