509 S Price Ave · Hominy, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 10/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.1/30.0
- ARV discount +8.8/15.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Appreciation +5.1/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3 Bed, 1 Bath Home. USDA $0 down Eligible! . The home has updated plumbing, updated electrical, a newer roof, new windows, new gas stove & new furnace. This home also offers a covered front porch, a detached, single car garage & fully fenced yard! Small town living located 10 minutes from Skiatook Lake and 20 minutes to Osage Nation main campus.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- New furnace
- Newer roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: Sidewalks in the community
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 1-car garage
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces east; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding with wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Gravel driveway; Chain link fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Multiple first-floor bedrooms, including a master bedroom with private bath; Additional bedrooms on the first floor without attached baths
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile
- Bathrooms: Master full bathroom on the first floor; Hall full bathroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Vinyl windows; Accessible entrance; Laminate countertops; Ceiling fan(s); Gas range/oven connections; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Inside utility room on the first floor; Gas dryer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $254 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#542 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Hominy (town): math 6% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #259 of 270 in OK (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 89 units permitted in Osage County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $957 of equity ($795 loan paydown + $162 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
- Osage County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $115k implies a 283% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.48%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $118,404
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109 S Brown Ave | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (+5%) | 14mo | $125,000 | $69 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.14% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $13,559
- Equity at exit
- $34,207
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $48,451
- Equity at exit
- $41,775
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74035
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,203 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $536/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $254
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-20status Pending
-
2026-05-04$115,000 Active
-
2001-05-10soldstatus $30,000
-
1997-07-08soldstatus $12,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $536 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,035 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- +$499/yr (+$42/mo · 93.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,431
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$536
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,154
- − Management
- −$1,154
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $1,223
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$294
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,759/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hominy
- NCES district ID
- 4014970
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 10% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,045
- Composite
- 6.62/100
- National rank
- #9990
- State rank
- #259 of 270 in OK
Livability — Hominy
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #542
- US rank
- #23145
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hominy, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,031
Population outlook (Osage County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,950 people
- By 2030
- 48,936 · +-0.0%
- By 2040
- 47,826 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 45,781 · -6.5%
- By 2075
- 41,140 · -16.0%
- By 2100
- 32,796 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Native American 21% Two or more races 15% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Osage
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.4) · D 28.4% · R 69.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.7pp toward R · 2008: -23.7pp · 2024: -41.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.4 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+25.2 2008: R+23.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.14%
- Current HPI
- 235.0104
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+820.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-05-04 Listed $115,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2001-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 1997-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $12,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $536 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…