3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,600 sqft ·
Built 1921
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,100/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$944
Tax + insurance
−$300
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$441
Net cashflow
$415/mo
Annual
$4,981/yr
Cap rate
9.06%
Cash-on-cash
9.88%
DSCR
1.44
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$50,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $415 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $177k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#50 in PA, #283 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D, employment D.
North Pocono SD (rural): math 45% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #82 of 539 in PA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 251 units permitted in Lackawanna County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lackawanna County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— severe damage
Major: bathroom fixtures
— outdated and missing
Major: exterior siding
— paint peeling and exposed
Major: flooring
— damaged and missing tiles
Major: interior walls
— paint peeling and exposed drywall
Major: windows
— old and single-pane
CashFlowRE · CFR-M9V0SH843MY9FD
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29