2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
862 sqft ·
Built 1892
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 68 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$877/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$126
Tax + insurance
−$84
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$184
Net cashflow
$483/mo
Annual
$5,797/yr
Cap rate
30.45%
Cash-on-cash
86.27%
DSCR
4.84
1% rule
3.65%
Cash to close
$6,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $24k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $483 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($877 rent vs $24k).
It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $23k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $346 of equity ($166 loan paydown + $180 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1892 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $10k; list at $24k implies a 140% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 30.4% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1892 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-M9VC9V307528V4
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29