1112 Monterey Ct · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$24,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor special 2-bed, 1-bath with solid potential for a flip or flip-and-hold. Needs some TLC, but it's close shopping, and quick access to Downtown Toledo, making it easy to sell or rent. Whether you're looking for your next project or a steady rental, this one checks all the boxes .
Key facts
- 3,000 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1892
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $24k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $483 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($877 rent vs $24k).
- Recommended offer: $23k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 30.4% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $346 of equity ($166 loan paydown + $180 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $24k implies a 140% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1892 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1892 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 30.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 86.27%
- DSCR
- 4.84
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $40,589
- List price
- $24,000
- Delta
- -40.87%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 910 Orchard St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 888 (+3%) | 10mo | $25,000 | $28 | 72 |
| 648 Carlton St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 880 (+2%) | 2mo | $86,000 | $98 | 68 |
| — | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 943 (+9%) | 22mo | $60,000 | $64 | 60 |
| 1332 Colburn St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (+9%) | 12mo | $44,000 | $47 | 55 |
| 516 Lodge Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 873 (+1%) | 11mo | $82,000 | $94 | 55 |
| 930 Colburn St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 938 (+9%) | 12mo | $45,000 | $48 | 53 |
| 1335 Colburn St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 962 (+12%) | 10mo | $22,500 | $23 | 48 |
| 2562 Foraker Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 975 (+13%) | 16mo | $42,500 | $44 | 40 |
| 715 Bowman St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+11%) | 23mo | $62,000 | $65 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.75% appreciation · 7.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 94.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.27×
- Total profit
- $35,405
- Equity at exit
- $7,882
- IRR
- 96.6%
- Equity multiple
- 15.12×
- Total profit
- $94,883
- Equity at exit
- $10,237
Cash invested: $6,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43609
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 7.8%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $877 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$126
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $883/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$184
- Net cashflow
- $483
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,000
- Closing costs
- $720
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1037 Orchard St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $820 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 771 Orchard St Unit 7715 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1086 | $645 | $0.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1418 Colburn St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,200 | $1.21 | 13d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 827 Colburn St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $750 | $0.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2594 Broadway St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $825 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 705 Nicholas St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1037 | $900 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1321 Gordon St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1121 | $1,050 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 538 Nicholas St Unit B Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $600 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1521 Emma St Unit LABS 1521 Emma St, B 43051619729 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $900 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1734 Arlington Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 223 Charles St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $875 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 707 Toronto Ave Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $775 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 416 Maumee Ave Unit D Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 622 | $475 | $0.76 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 244 Knower St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $995 | $0.89 | 13d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2044 Arlington Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $825 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $24,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $24,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-03-24$24,000 Active 287-char remark
Show marketing remark (287 chars)
Investor special 2-bed, 1-bath with solid potential for a flip or flip-and-hold. Needs some TLC, but it's close shopping, and quick access to Downtown Toledo, making it easy to sell or rent. Whether you're looking for your next project or a steady rental, this one checks all the boxes .
-
1988-04-27soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $883 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $883 · $74/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,520
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,344
- − Property taxes
- −$883
- − Insurance
- −$120
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$842
- − Management
- −$842
- − Depreciation
- −$698
- Taxable income
- $5,791
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,390
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,408/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,404
- Household income
- $42,313
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1603.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.75%
- Current HPI
- 235.2515
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.80%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+140.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Listed $24,000 NORIS
- 1988-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $883 · +27.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…