4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,214 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,130/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$236
Tax + insurance
−$66
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$237
Net cashflow
$591/mo
Annual
$7,087/yr
Cap rate
22.04%
Cash-on-cash
56.25%
DSCR
3.50
1% rule
2.51%
Cash to close
$12,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $591 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $44k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#541 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
Twin Rivers Community School District (rural): math 60% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #323 of 330 in IA (top 98%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Humboldt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Humboldt County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MAX7FJ70QPQ0EV
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29