3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,104 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$969/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$357
Tax + insurance
−$188
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$203
Net cashflow
$221/mo
Annual
$2,652/yr
Cap rate
12.40%
Cash-on-cash
21.82%
DSCR
1.97
1% rule
1.42%
Cash to close
$19,040
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $221 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($969 rent vs $68k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $67k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($470 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#378 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
Cedar Ridge School District (rural): math 24% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #186 of 238 in AR (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 33 units permitted in Independence County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $45k; list at $68k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MC2GS135XW6F7A
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29