2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1976
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,057/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$96
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$222
Net cashflow
$110/mo
Annual
$1,317/yr
Cap rate
7.39%
Cash-on-cash
3.92%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $110 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (12.0% below list).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Mineral Springs School District (rural): math 15% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #222 of 238 in AR (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Hempstead County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hempstead County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $54k; list at $120k implies a 122% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MCT8031HP942Q1
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29