32 Buttonball Ln

Weston, CT 06883

$1,899,000C+

4 bd · 3.5 ba · 5,525 sqft · Built 1989 · SingleFamily · Under Contract · 18 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $20,634/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$9,959
• Tax + insurance: −$3,034
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$4,333
• Net cashflow: $3,308/mo
• Annual: $39,692/yr
• Cap rate: 8.38%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.46%
• DSCR: 1.33
• 1% rule: 1.09%
• Cash to close: $531,720

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $1.90M.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($40k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($21k rent vs $1.90M).
• It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.87M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $1.87M (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $13k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $57k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Weston School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #4 of 153 in CT (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 1% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Hurlbutt Elementary School (473 students, 1% FRL); Weston High School (math 82% / reading 87%, grade A, #1 of 194 statewide, top 1%, 722 students, 1% FRL) — zoned schools at 1% FRL track the district average.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 84% at this address vs 72% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Weston School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
• 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 2.9% in Weston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.