274 W Hill St

Rusk, TX 75785

$99,000A

3 bd · 4.0 ba · 1,779 sqft · Built 1965 · SingleFamily · Pending · 19 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,351/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$519
• Tax + insurance: −$182
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$284
• Net cashflow: $366/mo
• Annual: $4,393/yr
• Cap rate: 10.73%
• Cash-on-cash: 15.85%
• DSCR: 1.71
• 1% rule: 1.36%
• Cash to close: $27,720

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $366 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
• It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $10k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (9.1% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#405 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
• Rusk ISD (rural): math 40% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #380 of 826 in TX (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Rusk El (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #742 of 4,322 statewide, top 19%, 288 students, 74% FRL); Rusk J H (math 40% / reading 41%, grade F, #637 of 1,662 statewide, top 39%, 478 students, 65% FRL); Rusk H S (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #652 of 1,632 statewide, top 43%, 610 students, 64% FRL).
• Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 39 units permitted in Cherokee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (9.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 3.1% in Rusk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.