2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
804 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Manufactured
· Active
· 98 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$852/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$309
Tax + insurance
−$165
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$179
Net cashflow
$200/mo
Annual
$2,397/yr
Cap rate
11.72%
Cash-on-cash
19.37%
DSCR
1.86
1% rule
1.45%
Cash to close
$16,492
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $59k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $200 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($852 rent vs $59k).
It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $54k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $407 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#231 in PA, #2,010 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
West Shore SD (suburban): math 37% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #222 of 539 in PA (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Rossmoyne El Sch (math 37% / reading 52%, grade F, #815 of 1,518 statewide, top 56%, 470 students, 46% FRL); Allen Ms (math 29% / reading 59%, grade D, #202 of 512 statewide, top 40%, 477 students, 42% FRL); Cedar Cliff Hs (math 56% / reading 24%, grade F, #263 of 437 statewide, top 60%, 1,353 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools average 42% FRL vs 25% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $39k; list at $59k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 2.0% in Lower Allen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 12% of the median local income ($88k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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