1 bd · 2.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 1972
· Condo
· Active
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,117/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$200
HOA
−$328
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$235
Net cashflow
$-274/mo
Annual
$-3,288/yr
Cap rate
3.55%
Cash-on-cash
-9.79%
DSCR
0.56
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$33,572
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $120k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-274 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (6.8% below list).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $112k (6.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#120 in MI, #2,918 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D+, employment D-.
Mount Clemens Community School District (suburban): math 4% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #532 of 540 in MI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Seminole Academy (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,325 of 1,397 statewide, top 99%, 370 students, 94% FRL); Mount Clemens Middle School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #481 of 493 statewide, top 98%, 151 students, 94% FRL); Mount Clemens High School (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #596 of 713 statewide, top 86%, 203 students, 90% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.8%/yr); 71 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
8 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $75k; list at $120k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen
— No photos of kitchen
Major: Bathrooms
— No photos of bathrooms
Major: Exterior
— No photos of exterior
Major: Flooring
— No photos of flooring
Major: Interior walls/paint
— No photos of interior walls/paint
Major: Windows
— No photos of windows
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· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29