4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
922 sqft ·
Built 2000
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 218 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,322/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$98
HOA
−$17
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$278
Net cashflow
$667/mo
Annual
$8,008/yr
Cap rate
22.31%
Cash-on-cash
57.20%
DSCR
3.55
1% rule
2.64%
Cash to close
$14,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $667 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 218 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (9.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#260 in AZ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
Market conditions: 329 active listings in the ZIP; 2,543 units permitted in Mohave County in 2024 (33 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mohave County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $31k; list at $50k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (9.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 22.3% vs local median 2.5% in Yucca — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 218 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MFKC6P7FNHSN5N
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29