2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,008 sqft ·
Built 1893
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$936/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$158
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$197
Net cashflow
$215/mo
Annual
$2,582/yr
Cap rate
9.98%
Cash-on-cash
13.17%
DSCR
1.59
1% rule
1.34%
Cash to close
$19,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $215 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($936 rent vs $70k).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#519 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Clinton CUSD 15 (town): math 20% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #323 of 620 in IL (top 52%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Clinton Elem School (math 36% / reading 38%, grade F, #457 of 2,056 statewide, top 24%, 477 students, 0% FRL); Clinton Jr High School (math 10% / reading 24%, grade F, #460 of 665 statewide, top 72%, 370 students, 0% FRL); Clinton High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #397 of 693 statewide, top 61%, 483 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 42% district-wide (42 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1893 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in De Witt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
De Witt County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $60k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 4.9% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1893 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MH8S8Z5RPJNTDY
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29