314 S Quincy St · Clinton, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 6,806 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1893
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Possession at closing; Earnest money held
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (owned), 2 garage/total parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Fee simple ownership; Estimated living area; Property over 100 years old; Built before 1978
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Approx. total finished area 1,008 (main) with total finished/unfinshed area 2,016; Unfinished basement approx. 1,008; Less than 0.25 acre lot (dimensions ~61.875 x 110)
- Exterior features: Enclosed porch (approx. 13 x 7); Family room and living room on main level; Dining room on main level (approx. 13 x 12); Public water; Public sewer; School bus service
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (approx. 13 x 11)
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms located on the main level; Master bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Unfinished full basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (approx. 5 x 7)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $215 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($936 rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 5.2% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#519 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Clinton CUSD 15 (town): math 20% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #323 of 620 in IL (top 52%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Clinton Elem School (math 36% / reading 38%, grade F, #457 of 2,056 statewide, top 24%, 477 students, 0% FRL); Clinton Jr High School (math 10% / reading 24%, grade F, #460 of 665 statewide, top 72%, 370 students, 0% FRL); Clinton High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #397 of 693 statewide, top 61%, 483 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 42% district-wide (42 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in De Witt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- De Witt County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $60k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1893 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1893 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.17%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $90,717
- List price
- $70,000
- Delta
- -22.84%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 314 S Quincy St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (0%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $60 | 100 |
| 219 S Jackson St | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,052 (+4%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $128 | 82 |
| 501 N Elm St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 998 (-1%) | 4mo | $55,000 | $55 | 71 |
| 701 W South St | 0.38mi | 2/1.5 | 1,065 (+6%) | 6mo | $106,000 | $100 | 66 |
| 824 E Adams St | 0.56mi | 2/1.5 | 996 (-1%) | 8mo | $103,000 | $103 | 64 |
| 701 S Cain St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,036 (+3%) | 2mo | $46,500 | $45 | 62 |
| 504 Isabella St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 969 (-4%) | 2mo | $105,775 | $109 | 58 |
| 421 N Grant St | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,120 (+11%) | 4mo | $139,900 | $125 | 51 |
| 517 N Walnut St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 1,116 (+11%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $103 | 50 |
| 713 N George St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 1,116 (+11%) | 2mo | $40,000 | $36 | 47 |
| 723 N Madison St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 1,132 (+12%) | 7mo | $70,000 | $62 | 45 |
| 1202 E Jefferson St E | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,110 (+10%) | 2mo | $152,500 | $137 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $2,398
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $19,892
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61727
- Home prices YoY
- -24.7%
- Active inventory
- 38
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $936 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,541/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$197
- Net cashflow
- $215
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $255 | -5% $235 | +0% $215 | +5% $195 | +10% $176 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $141 | -5% $178 | +0% $215 | +5% $252 | +10% $289 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $250 | -0.5pp $233 | base $215 | +0.5pp $197 | +1.0pp $179 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-15$70,000 Active 210-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,541 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,565 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- +$24/yr (+$2/mo · 1.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,238
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,541
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$899
- − Management
- −$899
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $1,591
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$382
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,200/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clinton CUSD 15
- NCES district ID
- 1710440
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,506
- Composite
- 21.98/100
- National rank
- #8210
- State rank
- #323 of 620 in IL
Livability — Clinton
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #519
- US rank
- #10704
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clinton, IL
- City population
- 9,114
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,114
Population outlook (De Witt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,564 people
- By 2030
- 15,026 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 13,704 · -12.0%
- By 2050
- 12,222 · -21.5%
- By 2075
- 8,863 · -43.1%
- By 2100
- 5,736 · -63.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Romanian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · De Witt
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.9) · D 26.6% · R 71.5% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.5pp toward R · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -44.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.9 2020: R+42.9 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+13.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.13%
- Current HPI
- 158.9595
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-14.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2026-06-02 Sold (MLS) $60,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-19 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-15 Listed $70,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+9.6%/yrLatest (2024): $1,541 · +177.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…